TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c76…9700

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+183.2%+$44.7
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$11.15
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$73.38
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$21.9
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.14
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+225.1%+$29.26
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UMBC Retrievers vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
High Point Panthers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Justin Engelbacked Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michiganbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.