TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Michiganof Kennesaw State, Western Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$635,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Kennesaw State40c200,000$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Western Michigan60c197,905$118,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,161.8410448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Kennesaw State41c128,107$52,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,520.8432745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Western Michigan60c100,025$60,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,009.834163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Kennesaw State40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kennesaw State39c46,149$17,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,998.1493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Western Michigan61c40,511$24,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,799.482138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kennesaw State41c37,182$15,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,211.9552449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Michigan61c34,777$21,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,663.149444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Western Michigan59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Kennesaw State39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8002528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Western Michigan61c16,393$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.4419362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kennesaw State40c12,900$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,16020450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Michigan59c6,168$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.9248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Western Michigan61c5,500$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1457146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Kennesaw State6c5,384$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Western Michigan61c3,599$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.838450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94d…087bbacked Kennesaw State42c3,504$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005a…5650backed Kennesaw State40c2,900$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657f…cbe4backed Western Michigan59c2,888$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kennesaw State12c2,455$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.059124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75c3…4d64backed Kennesaw State41c2,020$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f87…4197backed Kennesaw State1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Western Michigan59c1,755$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c0…72f1backed Western Michigan59c1,550$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Western Michigan59c1,220$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.193748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kennesaw State39c1,200$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47325629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State39c1,154$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.772,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kennesaw State11c1,153$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Western Michigan60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fd…77d0backed Kennesaw State40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Western Michigan61c867.21$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.215750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Michigan69c861.45$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kennesaw State40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Western Michigan59c780.51$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.014151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kennesaw State39c765$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3549253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6a…bbacbacked Kennesaw State41c756.77$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Kennesaw State40c708.19$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.23743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Western Michigan59c706$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…bcb9backed Kennesaw State39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kennesaw State41c699.97$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9910242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Kennesaw State40c650$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a5…6895backed Kennesaw State40c630$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kennesaw State6c599.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Kennesaw State40c599.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.996241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Western Michigan60c596.86$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb4…e8bfbacked Western Michigan60c589.52$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b5…640cbacked Kennesaw State41c540.17$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d18…0747backed Kennesaw State41c539.49$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1930…8ee5backed Western Michigan60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Kennesaw State41c474.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.593240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387e…4c5dbacked Western Michigan59c470$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc356…f96ebacked Western Michigan61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Western Michigan59c422.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Western Michigan60c413.13$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2514055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Kennesaw State40c400$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.334643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Kennesaw State15c383.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kennesaw State41c363.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…b7b5backed Western Michigan60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b13…8ae3backed Western Michigan59c335.42$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9836…7d94backed Western Michigan60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Kennesaw State41c320.26$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3126846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Kennesaw State40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Western Michigan60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65d…b31abacked Western Michigan59c297.04$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f96…0f14backed Western Michigan60c294.8$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…3aa6backed Kennesaw State5c291.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563e…3392backed Western Michigan60c280$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Kennesaw State41c256.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.047749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc40b…bde6backed Western Michigan61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Kennesaw State40c249.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.994131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Kennesaw State41c245.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kennesaw State41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Kennesaw State41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Michigan59c227.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Western Michigan60c217.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.491050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff17…c0edbacked Kennesaw State28c217$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Kennesaw State41c205.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.163345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Western Michigan59c197.07$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.816747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Kennesaw State40c180.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.584141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Western Michigan61c177.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff6a…b67abacked Western Michigan60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fc…7514backed Western Michigan60c168.42$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kennesaw State28c165.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9840244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Kennesaw State34c164.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566030%18 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Western Michigan61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Western Michigan61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Western Michigan61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Western Michigan60c153.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Kennesaw State19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Kennesaw State8c145.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7713…128abacked Western Michigan59c138.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5d…3f0abacked Kennesaw State41c128.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.523351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Kennesaw State41c123$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.431711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Kennesaw State41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010342.7%44 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Western Michigan59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…dffcbacked Kennesaw State42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Kennesaw State40c116.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.483030%9 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Western Michigan59c115.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…a303backed Western Michigan64c112.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.