TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UMBC Retrievers vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bryant Bulldogsof UMBC Retrievers, Bryant Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x659c…85bbbacked UMBC Retrievers41c10,597$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,365.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked UMBC Retrievers47c7,939$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.233438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bryant Bulldogs51c6,180$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.633,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UMBC Retrievers48c5,878$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.352,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bryant Bulldogs61c5,867$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Bryant Bulldogs56c4,825$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.162835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UMBC Retrievers41c4,146$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.392,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Bryant Bulldogs59c4,002$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.899849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bryant Bulldogs35c3,849$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.231,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UMBC Retrievers44c3,681$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.261,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked UMBC Retrievers45c2,542$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.95759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bryant Bulldogs55c2,334$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.592,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Bryant Bulldogs67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed UMBC Retrievers40c1,860$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7422227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bryant Bulldogs51c1,822$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.414,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Bryant Bulldogs47c1,741$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.323644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf6…8a4dbacked Bryant Bulldogs53c1,645$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.271353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed UMBC Retrievers55c1,497$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.5410846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UMBC Retrievers43c1,455$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.441,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UMBC Retrievers23c1,197$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.184,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UMBC Retrievers32c1,026$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.751,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf326…ce15backed Bryant Bulldogs56c970$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Bryant Bulldogs55c874$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.310448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bryant Bulldogs26c871.54$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.761,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bryant Bulldogs52c850.99$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bryant Bulldogs56c800$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UMBC Retrievers42c774.3$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.073,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UMBC Retrievers50c769$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.271,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMBC Retrievers43c753.28$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.961,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bryant Bulldogs67c717$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.612,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Bryant Bulldogs28c698.62$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6216135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Bryant Bulldogs47c654.29$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x415a…59bcbacked UMBC Retrievers3c623.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UMBC Retrievers52c563.38$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bryant Bulldogs49c531.22$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.282,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked UMBC Retrievers77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Bryant Bulldogs46c490$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.426740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed UMBC Retrievers38c406$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Bryant Bulldogs49c400.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4635050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Bryant Bulldogs51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1627045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bryant Bulldogs57c359$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.371,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bryant Bulldogs57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8850546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Bryant Bulldogs56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4349849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed UMBC Retrievers64c320.73$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.925831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bryant Bulldogs49c311.55$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bryant Bulldogs47c289.94$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.161,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Bryant Bulldogs48c285.5$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Bryant Bulldogs51c257.56$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bryant Bulldogs55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed UMBC Retrievers44c212.21$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked UMBC Retrievers57c211.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UMBC Retrievers21c209.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.321,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Bryant Bulldogs56c206.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.845858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…4c04backed Bryant Bulldogs58c206$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e13…8507backed UMBC Retrievers42c206$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bryant Bulldogs46c205$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf08e…1434backed Bryant Bulldogs56c202$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x728e…c1f9backed UMBC Retrievers44c201$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3807…50e5backed UMBC Retrievers44c201$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked UMBC Retrievers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bryant Bulldogs56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.521,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed UMBC Retrievers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30e…186fbacked UMBC Retrievers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afc…a0e4backed Bryant Bulldogs58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Bryant Bulldogs56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8920254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9e…9dd7backed Bryant Bulldogs56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bryant Bulldogs55c187.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.381,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bryant Bulldogs56c178.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8440252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Bryant Bulldogs57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4419555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Bryant Bulldogs12c164.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.882763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bryant Bulldogs57c160.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.281,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UMBC Retrievers25c158.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.492,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked UMBC Retrievers54c153.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.137251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UMBC Retrievers44c152.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.682,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Bryant Bulldogs57c147.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UMBC Retrievers50c139.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.541,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers44c135.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4f…6678backed Bryant Bulldogs75c133.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.541457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b4…a506backed Bryant Bulldogs27c127.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.331225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked UMBC Retrievers42c107$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.818129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Bryant Bulldogs50c101.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bryant Bulldogs47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed UMBC Retrievers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked UMBC Retrievers60c99.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked UMBC Retrievers43c96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.281,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb19…8d65backed UMBC Retrievers48c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Bryant Bulldogs54c90.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7921252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Bryant Bulldogs46c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5227048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UMBC Retrievers52c85.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bryant Bulldogs47c83.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.113262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Bryant Bulldogs46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Bryant Bulldogs52c74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Bryant Bulldogs62c74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed UMBC Retrievers47c68.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1119050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Bryant Bulldogs71c60.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.232642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed UMBC Retrievers21c56.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Bryant Bulldogs48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.511540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xece6…e768backed UMBC Retrievers48c54.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…e2f5backed Bryant Bulldogs54c53.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bryant Bulldogs55c53.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.