CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eruption (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd151bd4606a9eb07f800f74d09051f81718ad858e7a69e2cb456e6081dcac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eruptionof JiJieHao, Eruption
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27dd…0ce9backed Eruption | 21c | 588$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed JiJieHao | 72c | 497.06$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…c8dabacked Eruption | 21c | 467$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…9a3bbacked JiJieHao | 79c | 353$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Eruption | 27c | 320$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed JiJieHao | 63c | 317.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Eruption | 29c | 294$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…9eaebacked JiJieHao | 79c | 235$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…87dfbacked JiJieHao | 79c | 235$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4883backed JiJieHao | 79c | 232$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Eruption | 22c | 205.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed JiJieHao | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Eruption | 22c | 149.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed JiJieHao | 74c | 118.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Eruption | 19c | 104$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked JiJieHao | 76c | 101.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Eruption | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +312.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Eruption | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed JiJieHao | 71c | 59.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Eruption | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…36d8backed JiJieHao | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed JiJieHao | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed JiJieHao | 79c | 43.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed JiJieHao | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked JiJieHao | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…5933backed JiJieHao | 73c | 16.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.