Premier League · resolved market
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e5d552d69fd80e55de70f2a69ec6a2e3df8084db784de906a17a9b9781a116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,931$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…ffd6backed Yes | 16c | 1,118$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…8772backed Yes | 14c | 851.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 513.04$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…a70dbacked Yes | 15c | 418.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 13c | 318.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +234%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 178.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 14c | 104$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…6188backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Yes | 19c | 72.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…e220backed Yes | 14c | 69.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 15c | 66.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 18c | 63.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…60ecbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?this page
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Burnley FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 5 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 6 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 6 - 2 Burnley FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.