Premier League · resolved market
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Burnley FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf4f3842f6e0244e3f4d19718d3b725a3b606cd6260be525ece3c5940957231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 15c | 1,203$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 16c | 630.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 306.32$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…f038backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 16c | 92.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…5882backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Burnley FC?this page
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Burnley FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 1 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 5 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 6 - 0 Burnley FC?No won
- Exact Score: Arsenal FC 6 - 2 Burnley FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.