Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6a7187661ac03f8e069408f835bc2f0f37a8b1de6147f9401f9ff726955683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $887,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $862,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 153,128$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 1c | 23,708$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 1c | 18,043$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 1c | 13,559$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 0c | 13,217$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes | 1c | 9,464$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 12.5%12 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 1c | 8,973$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…ff09backed Yes | 1c | 7,814$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…80f0backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…c543backed Yes | 1c | 6,743$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 1c | 6,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 1c | 6,241$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 5c | 5,765$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 1c | 5,656$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…b417backed Yes | 1c | 5,187$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +1,751.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 1c | 5,130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 0c | 4,383$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 1c | 4,121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c6…d0e2backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…cdb1backed Yes | 1c | 3,770$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…5caebacked Yes | 2c | 3,731$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,654$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 0c | 3,532$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,464$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 3,413$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 5c | 3,233$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…9ca2backed Yes | 1c | 3,168$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…7304backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…a35dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…56e9backed Yes | 1c | 2,812$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…0750backed Yes | 4c | 2,765$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 1c | 2,649$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 8c | 2,634$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e51abacked Yes | 4c | 2,614$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…1762backed Yes | 8c | 2,603$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Yes | 1c | 2,571$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 8c | 2,540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…e1e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Yes | 2c | 2,345$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…2f89backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…ed4abacked Yes | 1c | 2,142$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…655dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,047$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,006$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 65 | 3.1%2 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,811$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 1,725$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,605$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 2c | 1,571$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde8…8fd4backed Yes | 1c | 1,540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 5c | 1,469$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…3527backed Yes | 1c | 1,430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 1,427$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…bb28backed Yes | 7c | 1,418$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 4c | 1,285$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes | 1c | 1,263$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e947backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,238$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,236$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,142$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…d56fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…630cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,072$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…f387backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,018$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 946.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…5a3dbacked Yes | 3c | 919.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 4c | 917$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…c122backed Yes | 2c | 888.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 1c | 886.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 5c | 855$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 2c | 830$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 3c | 820$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 2c | 816$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes | 3c | 761.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…8fe8backed Yes | 7c | 684.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 3c | 682.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 3c | 661.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…dcbebacked Yes | 8c | 657.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 7c | 633.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7942backed Yes | 3c | 627.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…37c9backed Yes | 5c | 612.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 6c | 508.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…c21ebacked Yes | 6c | 508.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…caddbacked Yes | 4c | 505.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 3c | 456$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 3c | 445$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…93c4backed Yes | 3c | 426.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…98babacked Yes | 7c | 417.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 4c | 372$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…8306backed Yes | 4c | 336.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79d…2046backed Yes | 6c | 317.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.