Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e80cb55e4c2005dd6ef052a07151b519e4cbc347b6b6e27627ad7b636cd48c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 8c | 37,813$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.2 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 8c | 11,447$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.67 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 7c | 11,333$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.8 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 12c | 10,628$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.38 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3367…e5dcbacked Yes | 12c | 9,355$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 7c | 8,798$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.22 | 211 | 22.3%47 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 7c | 8,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 3c | 7,412$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…1695backed Yes | 7c | 6,696$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.97 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,445$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.98 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 7c | 4,898$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.92 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 8c | 4,740$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 11c | 4,432$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,123$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,870$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.89 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 9c | 3,738$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 10c | 3,654$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,518$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 6c | 3,513$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 10c | 3,431$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,169$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 5c | 3,031$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 8c | 2,980$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,908$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.47 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,800$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 8c | 2,779$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…3265backed Yes | 3c | 2,712$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 2,709$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 10c | 2,694$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.51 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 6c | 2,637$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 2,363$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,059$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 5c | 2,047$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 3c | 2,017$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 9c | 1,867$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 6c | 1,779$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 8c | 1,710$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 13c | 1,672$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 10c | 1,611$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 8c | 1,520$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,519$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 1,485$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,447$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 6c | 1,418$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 8c | 1,396$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 9c | 1,332$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 5c | 1,328$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,282$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,228$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,219$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…efe5backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 4c | 1,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,106$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 1,093$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,033$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…1537backed Yes | 9c | 1,023$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 4c | 1,009$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 216 | 6%13 W · 203 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…eed3backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…3853backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d18cbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 10c | 999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 4c | 977.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 3c | 939.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 10c | 909.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…b351backed Yes | 4c | 909.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…5b8cbacked Yes | 9c | 885.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes | 4c | 812.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 8c | 799.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 12c | 786.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 7c | 779.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 766.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 7c | 739.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 6c | 699.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 8c | 687.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 13c | 666.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec07…ca80backed Yes | 5c | 630.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 8c | 599.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 593.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 585.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…9eb7backed Yes | 7c | 583.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 4c | 551.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 7c | 549.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 1,036 | 11.1%115 W · 921 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 5c | 525.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 12c | 519.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…e133backed Yes | 7c | 510$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 3c | 509.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 7c | 471.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 6c | 444.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.