Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ffce146fe3bc21071a31ea74ab5e56a6b6a2e0d4361bb72df37bf8bc28f6f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 5c | 5,499$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.91 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 5,080$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 13c | 4,448$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.24 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 58c | 3,812$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.27 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,294$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.18 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 17c | 3,142$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.54 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 78c | 2,910$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,705$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.89 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 12c | 2,568$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 2,522$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 33c | 2,503$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.99 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Yes | 70c | 2,407$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 16c | 2,230$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 26c | 2,155$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.01 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 15c | 1,983$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 12c | 1,671$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 14c | 1,670$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 21c | 1,592$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.21 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 22c | 1,549$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.11 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 25c | 1,549$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 13c | 1,371$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 1,243$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.82 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 77c | 1,098$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 9c | 970.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes | 51c | 872.08$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 11c | 799.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 26c | 797.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 8c | 785.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 65c | 739.44$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 9c | 714.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 26c | 690.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 675.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 7c | 645.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 607.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 42c | 593.74$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 60c | 587.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.13 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 567.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 47c | 524.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.54 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked No | 22c | 509.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed No | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 6c | 499$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 461$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 459.81$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 32c | 455.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 71c | 449.14$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…2b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 434.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 34c | 433.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 37c | 429.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed No | 11c | 420.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 76c | 419.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…e0c9backed No | 75c | 389$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 75cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 35c | 388.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 386.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed No | 10c | 361.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 358.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 34c | 346.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.89 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 61c | 326.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 36c | 304.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…5610backed Yes | 71c | 276.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 20c | 260$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed Yes | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1a57backed No | 39c | 227.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…a3b6backed No | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 79c | 215.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…1f91backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…bac1backed No | 24c | 210.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 20c | 207.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efe…e43abacked No | 7c | 200.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…94cabacked No | 24c | 197.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…710dbacked No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…d241backed Yes | 78c | 169.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…8c5bbacked No | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 21c | 148$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 34c | 140.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed No | 11c | 139.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 76c | 131.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 128.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 77c | 128.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 125.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…0e7ebacked No | 20c | 117.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 12c | 115.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 237 | 35.4%84 W · 153 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked No | 55c | 113.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…d24cbacked No | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…885fbacked No | 10c | 101.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…dcc6backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 182 | 18.7%34 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.