Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89ee0dca86a18fe09848724ea7e7a44ceda922e0d15fc1b05ec7c8f5a9e0333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 1c | 6,300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 2c | 4,957$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 36c | 4,212$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.71 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,099$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.44 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 32c | 3,741$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,233$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,096$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed No | 65c | 3,067$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.11 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 5c | 3,006$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 59c | 2,890$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.21 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 32c | 2,528$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.58 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 35c | 2,216$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.95 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 12c | 1,958$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 6c | 1,949$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 11c | 1,875$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,850$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 22c | 1,701$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 14c | 1,481$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 15c | 1,471$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 9c | 1,199$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 62c | 1,153$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.37 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 30c | 1,130$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.49 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 17c | 1,129$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,101$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 32c | 1,100$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 60c | 1,054$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.54 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 15c | 1,040$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 17c | 1,040$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,039$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 9c | 1,005$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6c…7171backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 15c | 970$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 41c | 968.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.39 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 2c | 899.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes | 14c | 880$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 875.36$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.31 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 847.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 23c | 826.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 14c | 814.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 40c | 805.91$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 16c | 799.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 2c | 797.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 37c | 740.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.63 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 8c | 736.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 12c | 724.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 31c | 699.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 675.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.53 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 640.46$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes | 39c | 621.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 8c | 601.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 2c | 540.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 22c | 539.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 19c | 533$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed Yes | 38c | 529.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 37c | 499.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…1e1ebacked Yes | 7c | 474.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 3c | 454$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 446.85$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes | 48c | 411.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 42c | 393.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…5d9cbacked Yes | 18c | 345.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 34c | 303.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 18c | 293.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…a20abacked No | 73c | 291.7$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…718ebacked Yes | 31c | 267.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…732cbacked No | 75c | 267.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…d319backed Yes | 8c | 263.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…57b2backed Yes | 7c | 263.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 55c | 260.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 251.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed No | 65c | 249.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 8c | 243.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 237 | 35.4%84 W · 153 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed Yes | 25c | 230.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…1f91backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…acf2backed Yes | 24c | 205.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 38c | 201.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…91dabacked Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4e09backed Yes | 7c | 194.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 6c | 193.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 186.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 58c | 183.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 24c | 180.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.