Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f9ce2c9fd1c8fb2ae93e45c22b21e158d0e4626fdbe522998ead9b25b75686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 0c | 10,999$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed No | 5c | 9,096$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.66 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 35c | 8,706$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.53 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 1c | 5,111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 4,703$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 11c | 3,872$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 55c | 3,664$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.86 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 48c | 2,891$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.72 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 8c | 2,462$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.01 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 50c | 2,324$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.86 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 9c | 2,169$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked No | 9c | 2,075$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,060$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.18 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 28c | 1,878$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.55 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,829$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.01 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 35c | 1,813$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.39 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 17c | 1,706$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.88 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 18c | 1,442$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 12c | 1,374$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,332$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 13c | 1,317$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 51c | 1,288$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked No | 18c | 1,142$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,043$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed No | 6c | 1,030$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,023$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.23 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 63c | 1,006$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.8 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 1,005$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 12c | 1,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 34c | 992.2$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.47 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…df40backed No | 28c | 973.1$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 954.59$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 15c | 925.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 58c | 876.32$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.24 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 32c | 875.37$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 11c | 856$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No | 12c | 789$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 80c | 731.34$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.35 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed No | 52c | 683.1$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 61c | 669.2$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…d518backed No | 55c | 663.05$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 2c | 623.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes | 52c | 617.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 60c | 593.59$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes | 63c | 585.03$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 58c | 514.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 48c | 485.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…a958backed Yes | 70c | 469.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…ec90backed No | 20c | 467.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 50c | 458.37$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 36c | 448.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 50c | 442.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 68c | 441$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 47c | 429.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.77 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 51c | 388.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 47c | 372.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked No | 16c | 353.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 74c | 334.54$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 50c | 300.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed No | 34c | 299.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked No | 23c | 286$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 73c | 273$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…c9a0backed Yes | 72c | 264.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Yes | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…1e60backed No | 48c | 252.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 39c | 251.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked No | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 50c | 231.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…450abacked No | 36c | 228$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 312 | 17.3%54 W · 258 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…710dbacked No | 47c | 216.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…1f91backed Yes | 51c | 205.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 49c | 203.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 25c | 200.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked No | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 42c | 197.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…af3cbacked Yes | 51c | 194.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 61c | 187$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 186.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 11c | 183.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…0e7ebacked No | 46c | 180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 47c | 179$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 50c | 174.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 34c | 172.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 170.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 67c | 158.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 42c | 151.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 76c | 151.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acf…edf9backed Yes | 51c | 150.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…f982backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…94cabacked Yes | 66c | 148.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 51c | 147.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.