Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d66e31daf25b2620b21e24a9d10ee20dce24791de8b32200a321a9bb175602

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $536,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $396,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	0c	31,085$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	6c	28,692$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.6	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed Yes	1c	27,223$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	21,555$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.85	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	2c	17,029$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.87	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	11c	8,736$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.3	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02a…2bc6backed Yes	4c	8,320$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.86	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	8,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5285…1cc5backed Yes	9c	6,168$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.86	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	14c	6,071$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.76	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	6c	5,225$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.09	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	5,005$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.46	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	6c	4,950$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	2c	4,769$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.18	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	3c	4,712$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.48	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	12c	4,538$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.84	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	9c	4,526$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.5	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes	7c	3,902$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.56	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	10c	3,393$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.19	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	15c	3,367$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	15c	3,149$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.33	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	15c	3,069$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.8	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	3,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	4c	2,799$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.96	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	6c	2,768$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.81	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	12c	2,633$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.99	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	18c	2,626$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.43	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	2,500$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	8c	2,500$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.79	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes	7c	2,427$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.54	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d32…d12bbacked Yes	6c	2,417$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	7c	2,295$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.08	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	5c	2,177$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.35	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…ee84backed Yes	19c	2,135$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	7c	2,090$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	78c	2,023$1,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.38	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	1,972$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.61	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	14c	1,947$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.39	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	14c	1,789$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.24	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	4c	1,747$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.21	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,650$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	1,605$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.53	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	1,417$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.56	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	9c	1,270$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.15	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	20c	1,268$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	6c	1,247$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.59	161	24.2%39 W · 122 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	17c	1,201$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.62	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	1,190$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.53	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x446f…8148backed Yes	7c	1,185$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	12c	1,154$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.05	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	18c	1,145$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.42	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	19c	1,100$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	6c	1,097$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.14	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	3c	1,086$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	1,064$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Yes	26c	1,029$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.66	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f5…c7c6backed Yes	3c	1,015$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	8c	1,004$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.38	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	23c	1,000$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.38	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	2c	1,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	999.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	3c	999.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	7c	975.61$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.47	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	13c	967.09$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.67	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc94…5204backed Yes	32c	947.59$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	13c	942.06$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.13	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	3c	929.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…729cbacked Yes	4c	877.2$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.37	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+38%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	11c	844.97$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.4	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	7c	825$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	19c	809.18$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.91	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…1ccebacked Yes	12c	801.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	800$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	799.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	18c	796.19$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.11	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x960b…9303backed Yes	4c	780.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	2c	772.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcb…54b1backed Yes	9c	755.45$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.23	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	10c	724.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	13c	721.66$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	75c	720.22$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.78	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	20c	713.31$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.66	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	30c	702.38$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes	16c	701.75$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.64	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	700$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	4c	699.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	29c	689.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	10c	670$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.7	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes	30c	664.6$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	183	21.9%40 W · 143 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	2c	650$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	649.28$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	3c	613.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	580$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdd…75c4backed Yes	12c	570$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.1	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes	6c	570$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	80c	549.67$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.33	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Yes	19c	509.46$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.4	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	27c	504.63$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.25	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event