Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89bd8787573c79cf101bf1d5339fae81c5bbc946550cf689e9ded387b85d6597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 45c | 1,077$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.65 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 35c | 260$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 249.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 43c | 220.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 56c | 192.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 56c | 153.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 44c | 130.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 45c | 126.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Over | 44c | 109.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 56c | 105.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…3b2fbacked Over | 72c | 90.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 83.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b8…a809backed Over | 65c | 81.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 74.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 32c | 42.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae32…6cb7backed Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 65c | 30.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 57c | 25.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 63c | 25.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 57c | 20.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSK Gaming won
- LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.