Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf361d8341a9666281dc8329a94503dac40c4b7d5dea1417d8fa4a08ca24121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Gamingof Fnatic, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked SK Gaming | 56c | 28,771$16,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,674.96 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Fnatic | 45c | 6,984$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.75 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Fnatic | 43c | 6,790$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.69 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fnatic | 38c | 5,810$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.71 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 44c | 3,678$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.75 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked SK Gaming | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Fnatic | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…9467backed Fnatic | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Fnatic | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed SK Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.96 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Fnatic | 45c | 1,992$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.41 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Fnatic | 44c | 1,566$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.85 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Fnatic | 45c | 1,505$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.79 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Fnatic | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.05 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed SK Gaming | 56c | 1,257$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Fnatic | 45c | 1,142$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.88 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed SK Gaming | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…9787backed Fnatic | 43c | 887.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.84 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked SK Gaming | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked SK Gaming | 55c | 836.37$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed SK Gaming | 54c | 828.35$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.04 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Fnatic | 45c | 821.78$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.1 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fnatic | 37c | 814.86$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Fnatic | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Fnatic | 46c | 771.18$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.74 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Fnatic | 45c | 735.89$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Fnatic | 45c | 676.9$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.61 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Fnatic | 45c | 625.65$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Fnatic | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Fnatic | 44c | 546.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Fnatic | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed SK Gaming | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed Fnatic | 45c | 419.68$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Fnatic | 44c | 414.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 42c | 290.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed SK Gaming | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fnatic | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Fnatic | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Fnatic | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Fnatic | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked SK Gaming | 58c | 208.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed SK Gaming | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fnatic | 41c | 157.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SK Gaming | 57c | 146.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fnatic | 45c | 145.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Fnatic | 44c | 136.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Fnatic | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked SK Gaming | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed SK Gaming | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked Fnatic | 45c | 82.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed SK Gaming | 57c | 69.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Fnatic | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Fnatic | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Fnatic | 45c | 51.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed SK Gaming | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed SK Gaming | 56c | 50.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fnatic | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Fnatic | 52c | 48.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fnatic | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Fnatic | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Fnatic | 44c | 43.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed SK Gaming | 57c | 41.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Fnatic | 44c | 37.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked SK Gaming | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked SK Gaming | 57c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed SK Gaming | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked SK Gaming | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…6b68backed SK Gaming | 57c | 18.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSK Gaming won
- LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.