UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f54e20f5118ba603f2013d7fcf2dbab6d201393aa26013682fdc289525e28a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksiejczukof Almeida, Oleksiejczuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 72,214$47,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,335.51 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Almeida | 34c | 51,100$17,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,374.15 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Almeida | 33c | 41,957$13,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,863.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Oleksiejczuk | 65c | 13,810$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.49 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 13,382$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.94 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Almeida | 2c | 12,410$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Almeida | 26c | 8,697$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.12 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Almeida | 35c | 8,456$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Almeida | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Almeida | 5c | 2,465$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Almeida | 35c | 2,126$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Almeida | 36c | 2,078$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.08 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Almeida | 15c | 2,002$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Almeida | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Almeida | 7c | 1,956$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 1,781$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Almeida | 34c | 1,650$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Almeida | 34c | 1,507$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Almeida | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 1,400$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Almeida | 34c | 1,386$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Almeida | 35c | 1,338$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Oleksiejczuk | 64c | 1,279$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Almeida | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…65f9backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 1,140$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Almeida | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Almeida | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Oleksiejczuk | 64c | 994.95$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.18 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Almeida | 34c | 916$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.44 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Almeida | 36c | 906.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 899.98$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Almeida | 5c | 824.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 805.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Almeida | 33c | 799.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Almeida | 16c | 797.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 746.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Almeida | 5c | 622.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oleksiejczuk | 64c | 612.93$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…3258backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 611.65$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 588.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Almeida | 12c | 499.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 498.51$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 489.76$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Almeida | 35c | 479.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Almeida | 22c | 478.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 415.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Oleksiejczuk | 65c | 402.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Almeida | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Almeida | 22c | 341.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Almeida | 3c | 313.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Almeida | 34c | 306.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Almeida | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Almeida | 19c | 297.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Almeida | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Almeida | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Almeida | 12c | 278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Almeida | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Almeida | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Almeida | 18c | 240.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…e9d0backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Almeida | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 185.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Oleksiejczuk | 64c | 174$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Almeida | 35c | 171.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…26fbbacked Almeida | 34c | 155.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 155$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…ca70backed Almeida | 10c | 152.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Oleksiejczuk | 78c | 150.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Almeida | 32c | 150.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Almeida | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Oleksiejczuk | 68c | 148.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Almeida | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Almeida | 34c | 140.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oleksiejczuk | 63c | 139.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Almeida | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6776…1e7fbacked Almeida | 34c | 127.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba6…8b23backed Almeida | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Oleksiejczuk | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Almeida | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Almeida | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Oleksiejczuk | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Cezary Oleksiejczuk win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.