TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c18,666$8,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,975.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c17,745$9,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,694.9616752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c14,317$7,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,633.5134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c14,196$7,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,704.381,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c4,902$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.733,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c4,476$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.762,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c4,396$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.151,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c2,000$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.22,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c1,692$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.692,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c862.26$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.261,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c859$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over2c820$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.152,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c637.58$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.12,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0421852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c516.74$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over48c414.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under51c401.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under54c370.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7413354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bd…8b0ebacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c166.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c94.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over47c91.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec3…9aa3backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d86…112cbacked Under51c66.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.672864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over51c65.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.352343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9954…ec72backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.537959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2387950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c40.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c40.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2210058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c1…88a3backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9823753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c31.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.125250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.445034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7442143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2823348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Under52c22.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5822247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.