TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Nets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$398,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets48c160,597$77,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,086.6287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Nets49c42,466$20,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,808.2820352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans52c40,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,3002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pelicans52c37,650$19,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,07219560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans53c30,220$15,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,252.0960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans52c29,783$15,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,315.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans52c26,780$13,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,948.013,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Pelicans53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,749.9920744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets55c17,495$9,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,676.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pelicans51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382b…3b47backed Nets52c9,800$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661b…1bc1backed Pelicans48c9,800$4,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,096250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pelicans52c8,085$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Nets47c7,456$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets54c6,527$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…3250backed Pelicans48c6,054$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb360…9414backed Pelicans48c4,511$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pelicans50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pelicans52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1533447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pelicans52c3,494$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.3252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nets49c2,999$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.743348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets47c2,971$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.331,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3225…6086backed Pelicans48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans51c2,429$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.312,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ba…520ebacked Nets52c2,342$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab73…293ebacked Nets52c2,256$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x103f…96d4backed Nets52c2,256$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1296…be84backed Nets52c2,248$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Nets47c2,219$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.9132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…727bbacked Nets52c2,213$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec18…aacfbacked Nets52c2,129$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nets47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ae…b9f8backed Nets52c2,123$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9504…0321backed Pelicans48c2,099$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2854…b644backed Pelicans48c2,033$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets49c2,024$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c67…e84dbacked Pelicans48c2,013$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39db…d185backed Pelicans48c2,010$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…08c1backed Nets52c1,998$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b5…93c2backed Pelicans48c1,994$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb329…0459backed Nets52c1,966$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd7…ed94backed Pelicans48c1,922$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f37…23cebacked Pelicans48c1,885$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…32a7backed Nets52c1,884$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…245fbacked Pelicans48c1,883$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans50c1,871$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb2…4db8backed Nets52c1,844$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Nets55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35a…3017backed Pelicans48c1,796$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f95…d44bbacked Pelicans48c1,757$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x186e…bbe0backed Nets52c1,727$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6256…1d5ebacked Nets52c1,696$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…9a72backed Pelicans48c1,666$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Nets49c1,604$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.816939.1%27 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22db…1fdfbacked Nets52c1,535$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f42…623ebacked Nets52c1,520$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.450%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1c0…5036backed Pelicans48c1,488$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.76785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+77.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans49c1,482$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…6045backed Pelicans48c1,475$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f93…c1c3backed Nets52c1,474$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc4…c072backed Nets52c1,456$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccd1…a538backed Nets52c1,456$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb418…5039backed Pelicans48c1,435$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Pelicans51c1,420$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6131455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pelicans52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67233945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans51c1,328$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd78…a4d0backed Pelicans48c1,320$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans52c1,188$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.022,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa029…8ea8backed Nets52c1,163$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans52c1,160$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.82,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…5e6cbacked Nets52c1,152$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6674…45b5backed Nets52c1,145$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5862…7910backed Pelicans48c1,144$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd8…aed5backed Nets52c1,135$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00af…da7ebacked Nets52c1,123$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9650%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc149…12e6backed Pelicans48c1,108$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55f2…cd17backed Pelicans48c1,067$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde3a…0128backed Pelicans48c1,024$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3bd…e36dbacked Nets51c1,012$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…6984backed Pelicans49c974$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a9…7b04backed Pelicans49c936$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.36650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…3947backed Nets51c928$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0165…63e5backed Nets52c903$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90c…5c2fbacked Nets52c893$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x134d…0555backed Pelicans49c885$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.35650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…6c20backed Nets52c883$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans51c880.77$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca3…895dbacked Nets52c873$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f77…f946backed Nets51c869$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c7…2d87backed Pelicans49c867$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49eb…6102backed Nets51c853$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4567…a75ebacked Nets52c821$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets49c713.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5357250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Nets47c682.69$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8723052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…4e38backed Pelicans51c589.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Nets49c531.35$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.368341%34 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.