TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jelena Ostapenkoof Jelena Ostapenko, Jasmine Paolini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,653 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb84…08a9backed Jasmine Paolini59c33,629$19,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,859.369855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jasmine Paolini25c22,840$5,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.342,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Jelena Ostapenko36c21,492$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,791.9324557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Jasmine Paolini18c19,998$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.8418337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jelena Ostapenko42c11,345$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,580.131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jelena Ostapenko55c10,435$5,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,647.196,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…35a7backed Jasmine Paolini0c10,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Jasmine Paolini1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80755.3%4 W · 71 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jelena Ostapenko74c6,043$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.712,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Jelena Ostapenko79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.1915860.8%96 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jelena Ostapenko59c4,942$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.077,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jelena Ostapenko71c4,646$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.231,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jelena Ostapenko40c4,279$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.0878536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Jelena Ostapenko80c3,526$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.4281933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jasmine Paolini58c3,415$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.481,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Jelena Ostapenko41c3,401$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.5656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jasmine Paolini44c3,056$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.042,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jasmine Paolini57c2,931$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.931,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Jasmine Paolini59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63e…525abacked Jasmine Paolini12c2,471$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jasmine Paolini22c2,147$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.641,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Jasmine Paolini10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jelena Ostapenko42c1,721$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.978152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Jelena Ostapenko35c1,650$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.497951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Jelena Ostapenko41c1,576$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.5627231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8829…300cbacked Jasmine Paolini23c1,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503432.4%11 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+53.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Jasmine Paolini62c1,447$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.9813251.5%68 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jelena Ostapenko40c1,435$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.531,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jasmine Paolini57c1,316$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jelena Ostapenko73c1,243$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c5…5a2fbacked Jelena Ostapenko74c1,237$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.075759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Jelena Ostapenko58c1,205$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.357249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Jelena Ostapenko44c1,133$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3937854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf760…1334backed Jelena Ostapenko43c1,040$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.81850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Jelena Ostapenko36c1,001$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.420336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Jasmine Paolini4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jasmine Paolini7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Jasmine Paolini61c924.67$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.924762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jasmine Paolini53c915.23$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.852,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jasmine Paolini51c913.24$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5f…6851backed Jasmine Paolini57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jelena Ostapenko43c887.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1595050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jelena Ostapenko35c859$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3513351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Jelena Ostapenko48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3314250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Jasmine Paolini38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Jasmine Paolini10c737.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0551933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Jelena Ostapenko42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4068855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa883…32bebacked Jelena Ostapenko41c698$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.82560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+72.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jelena Ostapenko35c690.9$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.441,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Jelena Ostapenko44c690$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.442839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Jelena Ostapenko42c666.67$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6735344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jelena Ostapenko41c663.11$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.042,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jelena Ostapenko40c640.7$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.044,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Jelena Ostapenko48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32526847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Jasmine Paolini49c613.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3d…1491backed Jelena Ostapenko43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3426100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jasmine Paolini51c543.56$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.138,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Jasmine Paolini56c529.96$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jasmine Paolini58c517.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.012,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Jelena Ostapenko42c505.46$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7855241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Jasmine Paolini31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Jasmine Paolini57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Jasmine Paolini46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Jelena Ostapenko44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jasmine Paolini49c476.74$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.833,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Jelena Ostapenko33c461$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.876942%29 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Jelena Ostapenko44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Jasmine Paolini67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Jelena Ostapenko45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4498240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Jelena Ostapenko35c404$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2639833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Jasmine Paolini50c402.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Jasmine Paolini74c400$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.71,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Jelena Ostapenko55c387.89$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5518156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jasmine Paolini56c380.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jelena Ostapenko40c368.75$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.831,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jasmine Paolini70c368$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.261,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Jasmine Paolini50c362.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0884968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jasmine Paolini54c360.56$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.71,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaed…8479backed Jelena Ostapenko43c357.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.945255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Jasmine Paolini63c348.05$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3312664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Jasmine Paolini67c343$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.437342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Jasmine Paolini78c342.6$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2313763.5%87 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Jelena Ostapenko34c333.43$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2520865.9%137 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jelena Ostapenko41c331.28$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4619241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Jasmine Paolini57c327.52$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6942358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jasmine Paolini37c310.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.036,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Jasmine Paolini55c310.66$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6127940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Jelena Ostapenko71c308.28$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.911,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Jasmine Paolini52c307$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6411846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Jasmine Paolini59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7584…17bbbacked Jasmine Paolini56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4754…4f58backed Jasmine Paolini56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b18…84f7backed Jelena Ostapenko44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Jasmine Paolini7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21300%0 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c5…f6d0backed Jasmine Paolini56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Jasmine Paolini73c295.02$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6364065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Jelena Ostapenko66c286.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8715742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jasmine Paolini57c264.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624a…37a5backed Jelena Ostapenko41c262.4$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+120.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Jasmine Paolini58c254$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3213959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.