NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa180f18294a0c5e9dceb8d7bccd95d9399452d5741bf1cdfa4cbb782b36239f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 51c | 101,688$51,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,860.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 66,425$32,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,876.61 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 48c | 37,580$18,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,534.38 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Jazz | 57c | 27,630$15,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz | 53c | 11,731$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Mavericks | 43c | 9,660$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Mavericks | 43c | 8,242$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 55c | 5,428$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Mavericks | 43c | 4,905$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Mavericks | 44c | 4,828$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.86 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Mavericks | 43c | 4,828$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.09 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz | 50c | 4,327$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.18 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,233$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.71 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,033$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bf…1e64backed Mavericks | 43c | 4,025$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Jazz | 45c | 3,536$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…4bf7backed Jazz | 57c | 3,253$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…d769backed Jazz | 57c | 3,220$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 46c | 3,031$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…b13fbacked Mavericks | 43c | 3,025$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,953$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.94 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cc…7a4dbacked Jazz | 57c | 2,833$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…7cbabacked Mavericks | 43c | 2,435$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…b12abacked Jazz | 57c | 2,123$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Jazz | 57c | 2,104$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Mavericks | 43c | 2,104$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Jazz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…a17ebacked Mavericks | 43c | 1,944$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 46c | 1,920$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Jazz | 51c | 1,653$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Jazz | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,642$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.12 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,359$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Jazz | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,194$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,165$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,147$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…c3afbacked Jazz | 46c | 940$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…4fa3backed Mavericks | 46c | 930$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz | 48c | 859$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…c15abacked Jazz | 46c | 847$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 817.95$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.53 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 49c | 778.72$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 56c | 668.84$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 50c | 638$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Mavericks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…9110backed Mavericks | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 54c | 518.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Mavericks | 49c | 417.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Jazz | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Mavericks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Jazz | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Jazz | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Jazz | 50c | 391.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…6583backed Jazz | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…d3b4backed Mavericks | 54c | 331$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…0766backed Mavericks | 54c | 305$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…ee1abacked Mavericks | 54c | 304$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…1897backed Jazz | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…1dbbbacked Mavericks | 54c | 299$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3f…4df7backed Mavericks | 54c | 298$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 280.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…8797backed Jazz | 54c | 260$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…5c24backed Mavericks | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Mavericks | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz | 50c | 191$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz | 56c | 176$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Jazz | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Jazz | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…59e2backed Jazz | 50c | 119.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz | 47c | 100.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Jazz | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Mavericks | 52c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Jazz | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Jazz | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Mavericks | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 54c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Mavericks | 53c | 72.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Mavericks | 50c | 70.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Jazz | 47c | 67.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 65.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Mavericks | 49c | 64.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Mavericks | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Mavericks | 50c | 51.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…dbf8backed Mavericks | 50c | 51.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Mavericks | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Mavericks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Jazz | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 46.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed Jazz | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Jazz | 51c | 39.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 52c | 37.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Jazz | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a870backed Mavericks | 50c | 37.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)this page
- Jazz vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.