TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Jazz (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Jazz, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks62c8,663$5,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Mavericks61c8,589$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks54c8,286$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz42c8,263$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.623,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0375…a9cbbacked Jazz46c3,558$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.6850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9651…d897backed Jazz46c2,729$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e9…0270backed Jazz46c2,519$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Jazz46c2,343$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727e…f964backed Jazz46c1,718$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.2850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz39c1,346$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.942,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks64c1,327$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d86…5cf4backed Mavericks54c1,211$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb867…983fbacked Mavericks54c1,149$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe45c…fd63backed Mavericks54c1,049$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e8…156dbacked Mavericks54c1,020$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz40c1,004$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.572,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2908…c6f1backed Mavericks54c999$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks54c842.36$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe296…6f34backed Mavericks54c801$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a7…ebe6backed Mavericks54c789$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ef…58e4backed Mavericks54c768$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61cf…9c90backed Mavericks54c666$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe161…3d66backed Mavericks54c661$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Jazz39c645$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks60c614.26$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Jazz46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Jazz46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz44c599$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.992,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ca…9117backed Mavericks54c556$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz39c449$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.111,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…22f3backed Mavericks54c441$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz37c377.04$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.53,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Jazz43c330.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks58c267.62$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x754f…6229backed Jazz42c254.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x770e…7f18backed Mavericks54c214$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b98…38a5backed Mavericks55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Mavericks59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4961056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Jazz46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz48c135$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4046…de2bbacked Mavericks60c126.67$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Jazz38c119$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks62c117.34$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Jazz46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0623153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz48c106$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Jazz39c99.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.763,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz46c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50bb…3f4fbacked Jazz36c79.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Jazz45c78.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3411137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz38c72.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Jazz46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Jazz46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz40c65.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Jazz40c63.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Jazz46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Jazz46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Jazz46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Jazz46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Jazz46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Mavericks53c47.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2822643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Jazz46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Jazz46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Jazz46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.423348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Jazz46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Jazz46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Mavericks55c38.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.544844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Jazz34c38.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Jazz46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Jazz46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Jazz46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5615051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Mavericks61c35.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.098936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6423753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6427350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6422048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6423850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Jazz46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz43c32.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Jazz46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154736.2%17 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Jazz46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7227150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Jazz46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Jazz46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.827353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Jazz39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.616232.3%20 W · 42 L-10.7wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Mavericks54c29.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Jazz46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0424552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Jazz46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0414648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Jazz46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0415352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Jazz46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0415854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Jazz46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Jazz46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0426648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.