TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Under49c9,221$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.262,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c8,338$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.442,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c6,869$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.563,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c6,108$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.661,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c5,334$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.821,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c4,399$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.5265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c3,834$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.592,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c3,385$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…58e4backed Over50c2,799$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c2,608$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.822,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61cf…9c90backed Over50c1,819$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,664$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.062,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…49a2backed Under45c1,440$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Over55c1,440$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over53c1,285$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.918756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c1,236$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,215$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.082,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58816633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69a7…ebe6backed Under50c1,122$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.818345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Over51c978.22$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.333076.7%23 W · 7 L+8.8wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+69.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb867…983fbacked Under50c909$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c873.84$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.0423850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b98…38a5backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c730.91$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c599.99$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2974,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84e9…0270backed Under50c562$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9651…d897backed Under50c553$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe161…3d66backed Under50c410$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c293.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c290.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over75c237.93$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c217.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.892,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x770e…7f18backed Under50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Under8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613735.8%49 W · 88 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under47c177.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c174$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.633,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under8c171.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7216036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over51c126$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1242143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0623153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over50c109.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9537944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…35b6backed Under52c106.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Over53c89.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.354548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under50c75.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.937153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6337755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c67.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.073759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe296…6f34backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3c…0696backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2274547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over51c40.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Over50c40.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c40.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.232,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.423348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ef…fa7bbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5615051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6423753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6427350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6422048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6423850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under36c32.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4422…4284backed Over56c32.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.143060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7227150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under32c31.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.827353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaa…05e1backed Under37c29.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.