NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41df66ce2c6b2e502bec71a1140d4227c9f73d3c1427c1dbcac8fe4dc1015bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,165$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 8,180$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.75 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,633$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,062$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 562.69$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 52c | 363.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 362$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 210.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 49c | 117.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5this page
- Jazz vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.