NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0621527d20a8cd27be6675a47b330859e4cb336a0bd54b24014257c4beb29f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,048$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 62c | 1,313$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 56c | 1,270$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 1,216$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,033$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Under | 53c | 900$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 44c | 783$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.48 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 741.83$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 695.98$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.49 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 45c | 641$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.55 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 37c | 624.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.4 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 57c | 557.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 419$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Over | 48c | 417.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 55c | 364.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 343$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 294.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Under | 58c | 206.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 200.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 194.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 184.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Under | 34c | 165$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 47c | 127.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 117$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 107.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 106.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 37c | 103.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 57c | 88.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 87.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 58.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 49c | 54.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Under | 57c | 51.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…f908backed Under | 47c | 41.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 37.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 33.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…6edebacked Under | 54c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 32.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 30.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 71c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 26.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5this page
- Jazz vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.