TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d4…1970backed Under52c116,089$59,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,118.2116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c101,516$50,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0012,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c54,760$27,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,882.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Under47c53,761$25,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,394.227266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under50c12,912$6,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,45644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over51c9,573$4,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86212341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c9,526$4,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Over50c8,202$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.1648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c6,287$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under50c4,940$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4705154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under50c4,650$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.1515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c3,645$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c3,541$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7851,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over48c3,015$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44726949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c2,860$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over49c2,321$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.1510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c2,307$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c2,265$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under50c1,240$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c1,010$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.311,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over53c891$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.2347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over52c887$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.335369.8%37 W · 16 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under52c803.86$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.816040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under52c525.44$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.153946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23418650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1625347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c333$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c219.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over50c218.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9827943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c204.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c197$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over52c190.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Over51c164.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6518446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c163.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over28c162.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.994637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c119.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over51c113.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2820448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under51c111.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3921357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Over53c104.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5049351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x281a…7c48backed Under52c99.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.612035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over49c99.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under49c97.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.971,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c92.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c85.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over48c79.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.955743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over41c72.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.033641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over51c69.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over28c67.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810444.2%46 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over35c56.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50f8…8908backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c45.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.771,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Over50c40.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1318250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d38…c1f2backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c39.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over41c36.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6137344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.337959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Over51c29.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8394…20a3backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over50c22.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2618957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over51c21.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb259…2988backed Over52c21.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.262347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c21.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7137…5718backed Over49c20.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e3…a336backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.219346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under66c19.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.