TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Jazz (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$506,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$508,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings48c378,249$183,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,029.9287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz52c73,574$38,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,315.3748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz52c70,000$36,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,60060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz51c22,053$11,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,803.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Kings48c16,616$7,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,975.6825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz50c16,293$8,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,146.572,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz50c10,678$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,301.2959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Kings48c9,783$4,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,67924450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings47c6,021$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings49c4,646$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings48c4,240$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz53c4,000$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.41,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Jazz53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.9920945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz50c3,129$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings47c3,030$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.611,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings49c2,602$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.7627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings47c2,201$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.591,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Jazz53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7910252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings47c1,681$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings47c1,445$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.611,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Jazz53c1,081$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.1918446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Jazz53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Jazz54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9316042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Jazz53c904.83$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Kings47c838.32$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0120355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings47c838$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz68c826.93$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings37c802$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz51c717.49$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.263,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Jazz53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.746346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Jazz53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3619741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz53c369.92$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.143544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz53c359.85$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Jazz53c313.94$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Jazz53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0225347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Kings48c281.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings48c266.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Kings48c261.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Kings18c249.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.124637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Jazz51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.18942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz53c241.16$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Kings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Jazz51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Jazz53c202.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1320149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9852242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Kings48c188.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.823845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Jazz54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1915641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Jazz53c182.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.669051.1%46 W · 44 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Jazz53c158.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.296043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Kings40c154$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Kings48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jazz53c143.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.281,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Jazz54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72c…8ff4backed Jazz54c122.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.925841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jazz53c118$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4653945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Jazz53c115.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2444844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0e…152ebacked Jazz53c112.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.781741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Kings49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Jazz53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4720143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Jazz77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Jazz53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.347838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Jazz53c89.41$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Kings50c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Kings47c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4223946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Kings50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Jazz53c76.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8812044.2%53 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Jazz53c70.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1432743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…fdcdbacked Kings48c61.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings36c60.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Kings48c58.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Jazz53c57.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1214450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jazz51c57.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Jazz53c56.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5810947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Kings47c55.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Jazz52c53.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6217155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Kings48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Jazz53c42.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8420641.7%86 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Jazz52c39.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9521357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Jazz53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d38…c1f2backed Jazz53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings48c35.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Jazz54c35.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2921854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Kings49c30.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd7…e9f5backed Jazz53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.193644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jazz53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed Jazz52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.853458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed Jazz52c28.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7a…7a02backed Jazz53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff8…7dcebacked Jazz54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea5b…6c99backed Jazz53c26.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4510443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Jazz51c24.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0116552.1%86 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Jazz53c24.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.414154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb314…aacbbacked Jazz53c24.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jazz77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.521,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.