NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34435c8041743091f2d09d2ea712cb19f371610432ba42594be2e1436b502bc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Under | 53c | 48,594$25,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,699.12 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 36,277$16,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,732.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 20,012$9,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,405.8 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 55c | 14,275$7,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.71 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 54c | 13,513$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.07 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 54c | 10,074$5,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 7,755$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.4 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 7,093$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 6,684$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 46c | 4,718$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.16 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 2,128$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 2,065$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 1,766$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 1,015$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 55c | 1,010$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.85 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 918.09$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 906.81$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.1 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 900$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 46c | 891$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 825$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 54c | 660$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 418.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 57c | 351.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 348.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 235.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 186.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 160.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 46c | 156.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 55c | 153.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 11c | 133.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed Over | 45c | 118.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 97.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 46c | 96.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 31c | 92.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 87.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 55c | 83.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 36c | 71.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 38c | 59.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49be…6f44backed Over | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 40.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 55c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 46c | 36.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…20a3backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 46c | 27.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 46c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Under | 56c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kings vs. JazzJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-7.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.