TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c59,289$28,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,476.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Under52c41,022$21,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,880.567266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under52c37,890$19,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,187.151,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c17,901$9,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,637.4529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over52c8,025$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c5,198$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.662,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c4,580$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c4,228$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over49c2,407$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.5438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c2,382$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c2,344$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,047$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.572,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.852,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over49c1,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,530$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79515849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c757.55$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c617.59$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c490.42$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c444.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c407.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.931,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under59c356.15$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c317.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.42,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c299.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under51c290.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c288$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49be…6f44backed Over48c284.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.91040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over48c232.18$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Over47c213.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under53c209.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under52c188.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2454351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c175.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over34c160.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.223641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Over48c155.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.552937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over34c147.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd514…39debacked Under55c131.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c122.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4636649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under55c97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.659269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c95.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.252,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.922,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c77.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.611,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over49c75.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over47c75.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1962450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c66.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c61.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.641,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1253945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over49c58.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under53c57.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.932952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over48c55.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4620448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c52.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over52c42.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over38c42.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2343246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over47c41.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4512348%59 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec5…58eabacked Over49c40.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.445653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under52c38.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.675457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0233653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under64c37.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over49c35.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1819051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over36c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c31.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under54c31.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5116052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb43…f6eabacked Under56c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c26.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over51c26.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.325933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under52c25.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9845460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c24.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.73,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Over48c23.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.569657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7210…df82backed Over48c21.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under68c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7624846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.