TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jazzof Kings, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,367 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcad1…6647backed Kings38c987.29$375 inLost-$375633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz62c979.62$607 inWon+$372.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Jazz67c300$201 inWon+$994156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Kings33c261.92$86 inLost-$86.4317554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Jazz68c252.16$171 inWon+$80.699552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings32c252.16$81 inLost-$80.692,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Jazz67c63.16$43 inWon+$20.539349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kings33c60.03$20 inLost-$19.5329243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…82a2backed Jazz65c43$28 inWon+$14.92366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings34c30$10 inLost-$10.241,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e74…58e2backed Kings35c29$10 inLost-$10.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ebf…beaabacked Jazz66c29$19 inWon+$9.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70a…7107backed Jazz64c28$18 inWon+$10.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Jazz65c21.35$14 inWon+$7.4740849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…8bf3backed Jazz64c19$12 inWon+$6.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ad…85bbbacked Jazz67c18$12 inWon+$5.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fed…23e5backed Jazz64c17$11 inWon+$6.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Jazz64c17$11 inWon+$6.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3419…e404backed Jazz65c17$11 inWon+$5.955100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x153d…cae2backed Jazz67c16.42$11 inWon+$5.429835.7%35 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d56backed Jazz64c16$10 inWon+$5.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb374…f22dbacked Jazz64c16$10 inWon+$5.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e04…3fb0backed Jazz65c16$10 inWon+$5.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.