TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Under49c54,390$26,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,588.957266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over52c42,323$22,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,046.4811656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c41,297$22,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,487.381,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c39,700$19,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,547.482,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.9927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c18,902$9,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,760.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c17,822$9,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,696.382,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under47c16,567$7,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,739.2640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under49c14,931$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,614.5738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under53c12,564$6,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over53c10,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under52c9,962$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.6125049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under46c9,888$4,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.496860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under44c8,213$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,564.3342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under53c7,547$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.175154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c6,821$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.4431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c5,944$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.783,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c5,241$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under47c5,025$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.2592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under48c4,996$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.8329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c3,083$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.5517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under44c2,536$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.0724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under48c2,271$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.91,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,182$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,958$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,727$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,615$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c1,305$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under45c1,298$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.0219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under50c1,180$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59010251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over51c1,083$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.428537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over51c721.76$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over51c721$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7158951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c577$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under46c477.24$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Over50c326.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.355438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under53c320.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under49c278.59$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5717960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c274.51$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c272.62$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.582,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c267.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.491,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Over48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49be…6f44backed Over50c210.09$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.671040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over53c189.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over43c179.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3943246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over54c172.67$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.39758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over26c144.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under49c124.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4316052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over54c117.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0433653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c106.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.73,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4914…722ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over51c98.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8520949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under54c86.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.766040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over48c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5220149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c68.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2414751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over49c57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1720448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under54c56.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c54.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.191,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under48c52.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0723655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c52.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9cf4backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c48.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.462,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.412841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.447350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under49c41.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.035457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2211051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c38.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6753945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6755846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over41c37.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.443641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e09…dccabacked Under51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c34.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.