TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over42c181,811$76,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,551.612450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under58c119,000$69,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,0207938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Under58c13,294$7,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,766.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c8,901$5,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,162.5893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c5,240$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.6996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c4,264$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c4,192$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.391,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c2,262$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.5452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1608251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2206245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under58c1,250$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over40c1,086$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.529350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5905933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c905$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.99652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under58c900.02$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.0122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under59c895.35$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c841.67$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under60c749.6$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Under60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under76c639.51$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.821747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7613137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under59c435$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.656949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2442740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2328242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17712048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over29c273.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.537544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under58c240$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over40c222$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.24136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under60c210$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under58c190$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.211550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.411655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under60c178$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…615bbacked Under73c170$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.044035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.69445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.69252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.615459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.613650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under59c108.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.072250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5914254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c92.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4717958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over29c85.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3515045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec8…4143backed Under59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.47353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under27c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.211546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under62c78.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed Over41c75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.313350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under59c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3514452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over33c63.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9819436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.88552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.