Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f77ae50425d3ad6067d1a90e403c37d024897075f1d0fff4d3c6ed5e5ab53d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 2,781$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.69 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.88 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 1,355$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.89 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 1,215$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.35 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 7c | 1,027$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 49c | 699.36$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 514.62$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 477.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 51c | 249.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 66c | 155.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 34c | 143.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 113.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed No | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…eb5abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed No | 49c | 39.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…d894backed No | 52c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…b7d7backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.