NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8101cc2c88ff40cac00ea7367d4aaca4e75408f5f640de567420e97572ac9fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 769 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 59c | 64,816$38,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,031.3 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Senators | 60c | 51,409$30,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,774.89 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators | 59c | 38,144$22,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,504.71 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Senators | 59c | 31,000$18,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,289.98 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Wings | 41c | 26,618$10,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,704.66 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 40c | 15,136$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,008.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Red Wings | 42c | 13,126$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612.91 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Red Wings | 41c | 12,147$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,166.73 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Red Wings | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 48c | 10,842$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.93 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Red Wings | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 62c | 9,920$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…6894backed Red Wings | 41c | 9,751$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,752.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Red Wings | 41c | 9,247$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,413.87 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 41c | 8,908$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.77 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 8,364$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.48 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Red Wings | 41c | 7,858$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.57 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 41c | 7,696$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 41c | 7,443$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Wings | 40c | 7,415$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.09 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 59c | 7,067$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.54 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 6,851$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.63 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Senators | 3c | 6,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 41c | 6,232$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.81 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Senators | 50c | 5,976$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.3 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Senators | 21c | 5,854$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.71 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Red Wings | 41c | 5,555$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Senators | 2c | 5,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Senators | 60c | 4,706$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.12 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Red Wings | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 47c | 3,712$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.89 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…d42bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 3,580$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…940dbacked Senators | 58c | 3,580$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Red Wings | 40c | 3,566$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.71 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 3,561$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.98 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 60c | 3,549$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.57 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 41c | 3,300$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 9c | 3,165$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 41c | 2,878$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.05 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Red Wings | 42c | 2,583$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.98 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Senators | 3c | 2,558$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…b2cebacked Red Wings | 78c | 2,482$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Red Wings | 40c | 2,386$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Senators | 60c | 2,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 31c | 2,295$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.06 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 2,284$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Senators | 31c | 2,255$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 55c | 2,215$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.44 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 2,122$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,986$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.88 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 58c | 1,957$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.53 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Senators | 59c | 1,938$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.39 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,927$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.57 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed Senators | 59c | 1,908$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,850$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked Senators | 57c | 1,756$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…9cc8backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,741$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,556$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.04 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,553$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.29 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Senators | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,384$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.87 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,333$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.11 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,300$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.5 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 70c | 1,273$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.64 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,272$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.84 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Senators | 9c | 1,200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…cad1backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…172fbacked Senators | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…23a7backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…cddabacked Senators | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…28cbbacked Senators | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…8c08backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…4088backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…4268backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…9ebcbacked Senators | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9f98backed Senators | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…f1e8backed Senators | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccc…6000backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…5d60backed Senators | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb8…c03bbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…85c0backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2075…5c59backed Senators | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…8248backed Senators | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…b093backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9799…7675backed Senators | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…3239backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…8faebacked Senators | 58c | 1,175$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…11dbbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,175$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Senatorsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.