TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fea…78b1backed No31c2,317$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.155335.8%19 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c2,244$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.152,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes20c1,967$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.951145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+93.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c1,764$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.381,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No7c1,521$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.284347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes79c1,223$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6922949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c1,171$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.981,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c1,092$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.751,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf845…a493backed Yes76c1,071$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c1,021$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.3189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.381435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No21c744.09$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2914942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed No3c469.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c406.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.715,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c390.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes76c387.31$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1930548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53f…f9f0backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No70c366$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.785766.7%38 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.524654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes65c303.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0116858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes20c259.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.389542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes16c203.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0711931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11448768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No42c185.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5758542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed No14c181.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No80c179.07$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5722544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes20c175$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404734%16 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No12c165.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8810843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed Yes75c154.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c133$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7772144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes19c131.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.741442.9%6 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.35per pick8cpaid+320.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes55c126.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8318851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c121.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1825653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes48c114.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No67c112.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8156445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed Yes22c112$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.362623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes51c101.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No79c99.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2940550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes20c84.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9630049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No25c81.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.277345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No79c78.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.321,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No37c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4914247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No79c75.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3754354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No29c71.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6815240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…20e7backed No77c64.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a0…1783backed No80c63.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…56f6backed No80c62.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…e84dbacked Yes22c61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes66c60.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes65c58.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.078063.8%51 W · 29 L+9.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes30c58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.344822.9%11 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407639.5%30 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8b…276abacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406435.9%23 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d07…b917backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+63.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes21c48.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.234744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No51c47.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.139058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes60c44.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.843966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked No27c40.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff9…3d7ebacked No79c38.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No38c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba1…0f57backed No77c33.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c75…8a96backed No79c32.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked No45c31.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.371275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes64c31.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.335064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No78c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1813951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78166.7%54 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c80…9218backed Yes69c29.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes74c27.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.224273.8%31 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c27.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes70c27.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.327252.8%38 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0e…accebacked No49c24.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No80c23.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ec…87a9backed No79c22.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed No78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…d11bbacked No71c14.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5d…970bbacked No79c14.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.