Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc91b299132ce8f7b920506d7971d01d76f886f1eb17985fadfc8096057157b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 10,720$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.79 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 14c | 7,333$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.67 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,370$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 7c | 3,009$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 7c | 2,959$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 10c | 2,594$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,169$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.88 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,527$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9446…ae66backed Yes | 16c | 1,112$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 6c | 977.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 16c | 781.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…d267backed Yes | 10c | 674.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 11c | 634.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 9c | 579.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 5c | 499.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 80c | 460$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 15c | 458.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 14c | 387.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Yes | 15c | 383.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 9c | 375.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 17c | 291.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 276.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 18c | 199$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 16c | 157.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 17c | 146.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 7c | 137$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 73.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-20?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.