South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc961d7162a611ea407b80155533cb2c8a80050dae667948d6488e2caaf9abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 17c | 1,700$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.22 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Yes | 34c | 1,667$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,505$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.93 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 6c | 1,237$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 774.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.62 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 701.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.66 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 632.97$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 555.44$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.04 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 380.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 10c | 374.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Yes | 7c | 368.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +452.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 322.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 63c | 316.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 243.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 239.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 239.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 229.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 15c | 195.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 30c | 187.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 39c | 162.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 6c | 160$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 17c | 128.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 117.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 41c | 114.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 104.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 39c | 98.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 30c | 75.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 62.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 40.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 39.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 39c | 36.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 40c | 28.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 74c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 62c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-20?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.