South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ab68afdebce76552f89dbee8b7a46adc771b63de9e044c2b2494ecd3417826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 7c | 2,267$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,388$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 6c | 1,067$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,045$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 750.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 20c | 712.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 591.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 6c | 514.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 21c | 464.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed No | 80c | 452.23$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…9500backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 305.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 303.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 241.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes | 20c | 178.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 8c | 144.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 16c | 143.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 118.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Yes | 20c | 97.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…7585backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…77c8backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked No | 80c | 73.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…c061backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 80c | 34.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 80c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 80c | 12.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-20?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.