South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b71105a07f30c3a8bb06c1e4efc560dce2f50fa4737a0701877d4ef8d00a926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 19c | 12,525$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 1,185$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 73c | 919.97$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 8c | 858.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 72c | 838.46$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 72c | 358.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 28c | 348.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 318.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 299.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 279.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 10c | 193$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 16c | 191$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 166$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 127.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 74c | 99.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 16c | 86.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 77.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 14c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 17c | 72.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 28c | 65.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 51.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?this page
- Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.