TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes51c57,332$29,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,223.529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No49c15,978$7,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,829.4419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No27c9,736$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.81811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c7,959$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9008351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No22c7,496$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.343545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes58c4,669$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.761,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No49c4,031$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.185543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked No9c3,900$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.348660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No12c2,727$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.488740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No49c2,400$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No35c2,397$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c2,338$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.748,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No46c1,939$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.1442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c1,667$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.591,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No24c1,547$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.721,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No49c1,415$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6907244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No17c1,200$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No49c1,184$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.1612757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c1,137$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.043,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes73c1,100$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.071,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No49c918.36$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No52c910.52$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4776864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No49c714.28$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No29c617.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.46946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No32c600$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18948922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No7c555.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.621,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c538.7$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.961,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No49c525.02$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2610467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No49c520$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No49c520$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes51c456.24$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9618160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No42c436.55$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.35466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No49c420.5$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No50c386.72$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.365844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes28c372.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.138444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c362.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.385,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes77c362.2$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3425866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes70c359.73$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9210875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No24c342.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No18c320.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5520022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No49c312$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No49c312$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No48c308.05$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.664231%13 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No45c279.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7120138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes51c274.54$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No18c243.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No49c235.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c219.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.631,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No21c214.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3821640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No20c204.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed No32c202.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.114228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No46c185.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.153357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No13c170.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9810249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No11c167.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.422450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No48c143.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4233266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c131$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.191,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No15c126$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes55c118.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8521844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No21c116.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8429047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes62c111.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.34875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+139.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No19c104.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed No16c101.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1367548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed No43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes51c95.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.932544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No11c95.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.15152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0212754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6046…afc3backed Yes54c84.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked No50c77.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.671450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No47c77.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No51c76.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes59c76.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes62c65.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.979349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.855855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.