Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e55e323bcf94b75bd5ea5ebf75415913c62436970656b82d1fa27f90f4504ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 7c | 6,614$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 5,617$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 5,048$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.12 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 3,424$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,479$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,381$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,050$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2450backed Yes | 7c | 1,014$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 993.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes | 17c | 588.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 457.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 390.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 17c | 336.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 23c | 312.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 74c | 278.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 249.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…a7e8backed Yes | 16c | 190.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 166.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 75c | 133.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 126.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 114.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Yes | 18c | 110.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 34c | 105.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 100.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 15c | 92.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 82.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 20c | 79.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 63.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 21c | 61.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 60.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 59.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 27c | 58.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 27c | 56.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…280bbacked No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 47.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4123…e97dbacked Yes | 29c | 44.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 37.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed No | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 18.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…a6bebacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.