South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279650b55f0cde233a89630c741805ef4b864a4baa481b5b4b5fe294b7e68fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,441$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.14 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 31c | 979.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.11 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 53c | 700.96$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 36c | 660.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 596.37$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 31c | 408.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 392.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 389.36$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 32c | 299.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 189.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 187$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 23c | 166.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 152.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 144.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 133$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 71c | 124.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 60c | 121.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 61c | 111.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 70c | 105.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…9500backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 102.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 100.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 30c | 100.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 70c | 99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 45c | 83.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 77.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 30c | 74.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 68c | 73.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 63.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Yes | 28c | 55.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 55.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 53.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 48.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 63c | 41.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 65c | 32.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 48c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…50fdbacked No | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed No | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-20?No won
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.