Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a6d301f0354627e878c61b4425b157df404025b859fa4320ba6a7ca555f133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 40c | 10,020$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.03 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 55c | 7,924$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.94 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,497$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.55 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 60c | 1,033$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.25 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 54c | 1,010$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 66c | 710.62$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked No | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 667.03$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 596.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.02 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked No | 56c | 537.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 56c | 472.37$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.18 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 423.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.46 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes | 27c | 357.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 68c | 354.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…99a2backed Yes | 54c | 352.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 335.07$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 288.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 51c | 255$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…a485backed No | 73c | 249.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 239.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 49c | 229.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 13c | 226.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 218.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 207.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 192.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 77c | 189.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked No | 31c | 186.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 63c | 182.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…b9bcbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 145.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed No | 75c | 134.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 126.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 48c | 125.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 123.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 66c | 106.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Yes | 34c | 105.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…beb1backed Yes | 25c | 99.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 98.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 17c | 90.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…0a60backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 80c | 88.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 35c | 84.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 44c | 81.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…b976backed No | 66c | 67.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 30c | 57.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 67c | 57.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 56.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Yes | 71c | 54.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +196.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked No | 64c | 47.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…d8a6backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 26c | 41.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 74c | 27.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed No | 67c | 22.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 66c | 21.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…0f3ebacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…eccdbacked Yes | 75c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 80c | 13.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.