Dota2 · resolved market
Team Spirit to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e5a9759191e66cda6e1dd90d65248f7a63ce306c083a6cf7c3e8ce514dbd0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Yes | 49c | 3,014$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 40c | 2,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 46c | 2,106$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.39 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 47c | 1,479$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.32 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 55c | 741.81$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yes | 51c | 420.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Yes | 55c | 398.24$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Yes | 60c | 362.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 49c | 305$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Yes | 55c | 303.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 45c | 296.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Yes | 59c | 254.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 49c | 218.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 42c | 214.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked No | 45c | 214.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -11.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 43c | 177.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 57c | 175.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Yes | 65c | 172.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…07e8backed No | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 13c | 134.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yes | 63c | 128$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed Yes | 72c | 106.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked No | 49c | 100.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked No | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Yes | 57c | 87.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…3344backed Yes | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Yes | 59c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 72.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 48c | 62.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Yes | 59c | 48.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yes | 47c | 40.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 57c | 40.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 33.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f0…0c05backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Spirit to win 2-0?this page
- Vici Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.