Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e12404457540c9e8098ba90754d102477b92f2f279fa32d99a9ca83063318b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 18,525$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,432.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 14c | 14,518$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,518.15 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 12,560$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 75c | 4,393$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.99 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 25c | 3,864$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.12 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 3,422$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.73 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes | 78c | 3,395$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.14 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 2,746$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 2,442$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,360$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 9c | 1,999$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.26 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Yes | 74c | 1,801$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.14 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 22c | 1,627$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.21 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 1,491$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.85 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,405$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,393$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.5 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 3c | 1,157$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 15c | 1,026$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.24 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 14c | 721.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.43 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 44c | 641.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.36 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.43 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 504$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 29c | 467.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.67 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 441.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 9c | 438.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.21 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 56c | 409.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 14c | 400.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 6c | 325.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 12c | 320.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.89 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 68c | 297.25$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 11c | 271.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 75c | 265.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 36c | 236.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 14c | 232.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 15c | 163$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 10c | 152.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…4040backed Yes | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…3badbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 15c | 103.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…04dfbacked Yes | 15c | 84.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed No | 27c | 61.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…68c2backed Yes | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1060…d28bbacked Yes | 72c | 34.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 76c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 80c | 27.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…5a4ebacked Yes | 80c | 26.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 26.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…54efbacked No | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Yes | 76c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan leading at halftime?this page
- Algeria leading at halftime?No won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.