Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382f4aa8f902a7e9eabc873d028fcec6343894827080547284c7b2ea474d5a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $808,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 582,337$302,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302,799.95 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 48c | 194,598$93,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,190.82 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 160,000$76,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,200 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 50c | 15,322$7,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,597.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 50c | 8,621$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,432$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 53c | 3,850$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.81 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.04 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.03 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 561.13$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 50c | 313.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Over | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 49c | 209.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Over | 53c | 189.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 103.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 49c | 90.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…c90ebacked Over | 50c | 76.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 54.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Over | 51c | 46.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…be5bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 50c | 35.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…6e99backed Under | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 51c | 28.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Over | 52c | 24.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 148.5this page
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel BulldogsThe Citadel Bulldogs won
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Over won
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.