TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d63…2e49backed No72c27,240$19,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,627.26350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No74c23,717$17,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,101.8313844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c15,710$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9924147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c13,955$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,956.9224145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes28c12,186$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.7915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes28c12,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3607656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c11,402$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.581,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c10,702$7,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.8657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c9,484$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.93,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes28c6,373$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.4322455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c5,937$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.272,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c5,718$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No71c5,616$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.636764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4505337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No72c4,246$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.881275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1202962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Yes29c3,897$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce32…5757backed Yes29c3,783$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c3,562$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.461,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yes29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.998160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No71c2,996$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.924959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c2,135$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No64c1,946$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.852556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,400$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes29c1,345$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed No63c1,288$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No71c964.96$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.847936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No56c893$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.922365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c887.99$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c828.54$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18113658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes23c760.55$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.322433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes22c697.74$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.77283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c659.94$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c573.2$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.941,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No71c565.24$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.923565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No72c544.42$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.443073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c530.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes25c518.7$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5219865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes28c499.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.998246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c430.69$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c430.48$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes28c415.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.319167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c400.01$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11617159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes22c394.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No78c370.83$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.618170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes28c366.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c360.65$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9815051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes34c349.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes28c310.16$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.846962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c303.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c297.03$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes29c296.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.061,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No74c296.59$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.935366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No65c294.5$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.287444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…be08backed Yes25c283.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes22c279.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0933544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2365…af90backed No72c271.36$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes38c261.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.687447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18fd…1188backed No72c258.74$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b1…39dabacked No72c239$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.92366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes28c230.4$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b33…aeedbacked No72c210.4$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes25c210.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes28c208.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.47850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes24c206.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes17c195.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No72c188$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.748445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No76c187$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.039561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c182.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3869750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes28c178.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…f627backed Yes28c178.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes28c178.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes22c170.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes27c164.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c163$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.018672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes23c158$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes21c154.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1717842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c148$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0181…7a68backed No72c143.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No73c142.79$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.076440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6b…567cbacked No72c135.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Yes29c134.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca2f…0adcbacked No72c121.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No71c119.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.814574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes17c118$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.064852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c110.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No61c109.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.759528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes22c107.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f7…f247backed No72c106.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.