South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff363e3852530f7b5c87cdab55fc42981ab8b493b1b899cbcec1d388d3c846dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 19c | 7,599$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.81 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 3,712$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 2,542$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 13c | 2,414$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.94 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 7c | 1,167$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 550.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 418$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 399$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 18c | 341.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 79c | 300.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 7c | 285.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 9c | 243.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 11c | 195.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 15c | 194.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 9c | 191.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 18c | 161.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 78c | 152.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 12c | 150.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 18c | 149.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 16c | 118.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed No | 18c | 118.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 19c | 107.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 13c | 100.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 27c | 99.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 22c | 98.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 17c | 98.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 19c | 89.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…4090backed Yes | 80c | 66.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 70c | 64.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 72c | 50.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 23.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-20?this page
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.