South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d0da23a18881ffc369a8f2d2dc3cf500948ed76c5041cecb05e13a002e3eb06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 13c | 11,441$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.31 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 12c | 10,503$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.33 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 4,442$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 4,045$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,150$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 1,723$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 1,441$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,009$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 12c | 710.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…93e7backed Yes | 23c | 600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 12c | 385.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 5c | 325$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 77c | 182.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 148.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…7b78backed Yes | 23c | 145.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 142.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…6edebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 12c | 130.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 123.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…1144backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 13c | 93.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…8b05backed Yes | 20c | 57.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 79c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.