South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65bafa7f9bf934388adf022570c04d27c20ec9dd2bb24d5c8ea7d2384764dc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 12,840$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.94 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 78c | 8,469$6,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.08 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 3,178$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,795$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.79 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 74c | 1,824$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,733$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.38 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 1,484$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 1,332$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.15 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 1,239$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 75c | 1,032$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 76c | 919.96$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 63c | 832.48$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.34 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 75c | 825.24$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 756.27$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.01 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 731.48$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 21c | 590.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 37c | 469.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 433.37$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 334.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 29c | 325$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 285.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 26c | 214.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 197.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 161.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 23c | 139.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 131.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 121.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 42c | 117.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 100.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 92.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 89.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 24c | 83.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 45c | 76.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 66.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 64.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…b353backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 58.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 53.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 24c | 48.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 28c | 42.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 75c | 37.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 34.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 26.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 75c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.