TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes32c60,871$19,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,173.515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No68c50,000$33,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,952.566048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c20,545$15,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,208.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes34c15,400$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,163.992850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed Yes13c13,623$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,823.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed No67c12,800$8,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,576757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes27c12,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,12524145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c11,525$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,026.511,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes31c10,335$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,082.1240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.9624147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes32c9,334$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,347.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No70c8,255$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes34c7,700$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0822951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c7,255$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.362,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No70c6,089$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No67c6,000$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,02015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes30c5,675$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.4768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No70c5,148$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.623548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes30c4,342$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.138170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes14c4,265$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.6857139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes31c4,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7807337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes30c3,718$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.9222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No67c3,200$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14411054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes9c2,910$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.97616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+76.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No64c2,601$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.7112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Yes32c2,403$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No67c2,400$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6089457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c2,375$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.2964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked Yes32c2,299$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes31c2,156$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.6222455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c2,066$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.191,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.0419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c1,959$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.183,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No67c1,746$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.146051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c1,631$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.91,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c1,528$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5925872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No69c1,504$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.8219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No67c1,400$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93810760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes31c1,209$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.527927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No67c1,200$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80410558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No70c1,188$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No62c1,152$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.1121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Yes32c1,150$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7821060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed No73c1,100$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+614.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes46c1,094$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.094452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.074456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6803100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+170.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6707358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6803100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6706352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7102740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes26c1,000$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7225…9c44backed Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c996.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.6399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes11c899.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.99283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No67c856.26$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.78160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No77c846.12$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.981,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c834.58$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.0483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes29c831.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.5518046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53612159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53610257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c787.27$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes31c754.22$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.359167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No67c692$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.558445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c690.26$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.3648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No35c658.13$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3619865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.061827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes28c580.04$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.6310634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes8c547.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8811331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No67c520$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.49058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No67c520$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.49556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No67c504$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.725750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No69c499.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.998246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c471$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No48c467.86$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.046440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf1…5977backed Yes9c444.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes72c433.93$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes32c419.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0731952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes29c413.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.796728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes29c412.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes8c404.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.291020%2 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+222%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes30c399.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.885440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No68c377.96$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.018961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes34c371.61$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.213658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes62c369.54$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No67c366.42$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9517159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c332.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No67c320$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.49753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No67c312$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.049660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No67c312$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.049354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc06e…5796backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.