TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No52c9,767$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.163,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes51c8,390$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,265.7856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes71c7,014$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c5,938$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.774,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Yes76c3,300$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c3,295$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.2168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No79c2,781$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.1313744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c2,181$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.6849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c1,983$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.1898833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c1,733$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.339566.3%63 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c1,469$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes58c851$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.584362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c812.81$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.841,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c725.54$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6663757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes28c714.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.967927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes52c672.98$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1314067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c660.68$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed No67c654.27$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.634452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No48c582$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Yes60c534.28$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.572552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No72c534$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.528445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No37c506.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5911331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c446.97$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6219255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes68c441.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No77c393.07$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6913658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c377.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes28c367.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.047337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No72c357$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.966855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes42c350$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No52c345.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6319865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes59c340.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c332.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.122,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No70c320$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c318.23$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2917159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes63c317.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes66c304.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No31c272.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c232.21$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes74c222.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.582055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed Yes70c214.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c214.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5420043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes48c209.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes65c198.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes33c182.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c176.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.791,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed No72c173.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.658100%8 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes30c166.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…f627backed Yes30c166.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes30c166.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes34c160.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8610556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No53c158.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.528170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes19c155.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed Yes28c147.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Yes68c147.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-52.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes57c144.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.443658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes32c137.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.98283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes46c135.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6619953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes26c127.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes19c124$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1416…670cbacked No37c123.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No67c112.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5933244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d4…7dd0backed No72c109.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes37c105.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.046440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c105$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes57c97.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No56c96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.651,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc021…f527backed Yes57c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe081…1df8backed No38c84.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022e…e2c2backed No73c77.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes38c76.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No80c73.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.936243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked No70c73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b6…8588backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8137348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c69.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9445250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b2…4171backed No73c69.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7881…5c15backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c67.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1241351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9223455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.920253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.222335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b4…32abbacked Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b5…eb06backed No71c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No71c58.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.025646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No72c54.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5222246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefc…53a0backed Yes23c50.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.